SFB Workshop

SFB 386

Workshop on Statistical Modelling of Complex Systems


- Schedule -



Time Allocation:
40 minutes for each of the invited talks (+ 5 minutes for discussion)
25 minutes for each of the contributed talks (+ 5 minutes for discussion)

Abstracts: Click on the title of the talk to read the abstract.

 
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Thursday, October 12, 2006
9.00 - 9.45Tim Bollerslev (Durham, NC/USA)
Realized Volatilities and Testable Distributional Implications for Daily Stock Returns. [slides]
9.45 - 10.15Christian Pigorsch (SFB386/LMU)
Statistical assessment of models for very high frequency financial price dynamics. [slides]
10.15 - 10.45Coffee Break
10.45 - 11.30Siem Jam Koopman (Amsterdam, Netherlands)
Estimation methods for Credit Risk Models with Latent Factors. [slides]
11.30 - 12.00Emese Lazar (Reading, UK)
Continuous Markov Switching GARCH. [slides]
12.00 - 14.00Lunch Break
14.00 - 14.45Stephan Klasen (Göttingen, Germany)
Socio-economic and spatial determinants of sex differences in undernutrition in India. [slides]
14.45 - 15.15Tina Marquardt (SFB386/TUM)
Fractional Lévy processes with an application to long memory moving average processes. [slides]
15.15 - 15.45Coffee Break
15.45 - 16.15Aleksej Min (SFB386/TUM)
Zero-inflated generalized Poisson models with regressions effects on the mean, dispersion and zero-inflation levels. [slides]
16.15 - 17.00Göran Kauermann (Bielefeld, Germany)
Numerically Efficient Penalized Spline Smoothing in Complex Models? Taking up the Cudgels for the Good Old Laplace Approximation. [slides]
17.00 - 17.30Florian Reithinger (SFB386/LMU)
Additive mixed models for high dimensional covariates. [slides]
 
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Friday, October 13, 2006
9.00 - 9.45Dirk Husmeier (Edinburgh, UK)
Segmenting DNA sequence alignments with Bayesian phylogenetic factorial hidden Markov models. [slides]
9.45 - 10.15Susanne Heim (SFB386/LMU)
3d space-varying coefficient model using wavelets. [slides]
10.15 - 10.45Coffee Break
10.45 - 11.30Volkmar Liebscher (Greifswald, Germany)
Minimum complexity density estimation. [slides]
11.30 - 12.00Axel Bauer (SFB386/TUM)
Assessment of Natural System Dynamics by Phase-Rectified Signal Averaging and Prediction of Cardiac Risk.
12.00 - 14.00Lunch Break
14.00 - 14.45Gareth O. Roberts (Lancaster, UK)
Exact simulation inference and filtering for diffusions. [slides]
14.45 - 15.15Gernot Müller (SFB386/TUM)
Estimation of the COGARCH(1,1) model. [slides]
15.15 - 15.45Coffee Break
15.45 - 16.30Xihong Lin (Boston, MA/USA)
Nonparametric and Semiparametric Regression for Longitudinal/Clustered Data and Multi-Dimensional Genetic Pathway Data.
16.30 - 17.00Paul Eilers (Leiden, Netherlands)
Spatial p-spline smoothing on difficult domains. [slides]
17.00 - 17.45Martin Schumacher (Freiburg, Germany)
Assessment and validation of risk prediction models. [slides]
19.30Conference Dinner
 
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Saturday, October 14, 2006
9.15 - 10.00David B. Dunson (Durham, NC/USA)
Adaptive kernel-based mixtures of Dirichlet processes. [slides]
10.00 - 10.30Caroline Strobl (SFB386/LMU)
Bias in Random Forest Variable Importance Measures. [slides] [supplement]
10.30 - 11.00Coffee Break
11.00 - 11.30Thomas Kneib (SFB386/LMU)
Bayesian Semiparametric Multi-State Models. [slides]
11.30 - 12.00Alan Gelfand (Durham, NC/USA)
Stochastic Space-time Modelling using Differential Equations. [slides]
 
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